Saudi Arabia
Mar. 30, 2021
Read time: 1 minutes and 6 seconds.
tags:3 Reasons for Hot Summers in Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
I’m generalizing here, but for good reason given a historic rivalry between Iran and Saudi Arabia to be a modern Middle Eastern power and Saudi’s flexibility to spend aggressively due to steady and growing oil income.
Here are a few reasons to believe a hot summer is coming up:
- Conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia will remain a stalemate as both parties compete
for control of the Levant. Although the House of Saud tries to avoid regional conflict
in general, they tend to lean towards most opportunities where they can inflict harm to Iran.
- Control of Iraq is vital for the outflows of oil being exported as they now have a pipeline that runs into the north of Turkey. This option is available to most other Gulf states as a method of transferring oil for sale and has been used for the sale of ~55% of oil as of 2018. Iran cannot avoid using the Hormuz Strait which is directly accessible by the Saudis, who tend not to like the Iranians
- Riyadh has lost it’s security guarantor and now relies on foreign military expertise that lacks depth of skill to preserve their interests. This is muscle for hire that misses the mark for geopolitical interests in lieu of short term interests. Although a lot of countries rely on Saudi Sweet Crude, only few options (cough Turkey cough) can guarantee the safety of the House of Saud.
